NHL · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Edmonton Oilers — Detroit Red Wings
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Edmonton Oilers are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- Edmonton Oilers are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Edmonton Oilers — No. 4, 11 pts; Detroit Red Wings — No. 27, 4 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Edmonton Oilers: 5 wins in a row; Detroit Red Wings: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Edmonton Oilers 3 wins, Detroit Red Wings 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Edmonton Oilers — Detroit Red Wings | 3.2–2.6 | |
| Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
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Form
- 14.10away · Los Angeles Kings4:1
- 10.10away · San Jose Sharks3:1
- 08.10away · Anaheim Ducks5:2
- 04.10Seattle Kraken3:1
- 02.10away · Vancouver Canucks9:7
- 14.10New Jersey Devils4:5 OT
- 11.10away · Montreal Canadiens0:1 SO
- 10.10Seattle Kraken3:6
- 07.10Ottawa Senators5:3
- 04.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
Head to head
- 12.12.2025Edmonton Oilers — Detroit Red Wings4:1
- 19.10.2025Detroit Red Wings — Edmonton Oilers4:2
- 31.01.2025Edmonton Oilers — Detroit Red Wings2:3 SO
- 28.10.2024Detroit Red Wings — Edmonton Oilers2:3 OT
- 14.02.2024Edmonton Oilers — Detroit Red Wings8:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 | Detroit Red Wings | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
NHL on the same day
- New York RangersLos Angeles Kingspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:14.9
- Calgary FlamesToronto Maple Leafspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →