DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)
ERC Ingolstadt — Straubing Tigers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 13 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: ERC Ingolstadt 49%, Straubing Tigers 51% including overtime.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 3.0.
Facts
- League table: ERC Ingolstadt — No. 7, 20 pts; Straubing Tigers — No. 5, 26 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- ERC Ingolstadt: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: ERC Ingolstadt 3 wins, Straubing Tigers 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ERC Ingolstadt — Straubing Tigers | 3.0–3.0 | |
| ERC Ingolstadt to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Straubing Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 60% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap ERC Ingolstadt
- ERC Ingolstadt goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Frankfurt Lowen2:5
- 30.10Eisbaren Berlin3:5
- 25.10away · Bremerhaven2:6
- 23.10away · Grizzly Wolfsburg4:1
- 20.10Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2
- 01.11away · Bremerhaven2:5
- 30.10Munchen4:2
- 25.10away · Augsburger Panther4:2
- 23.10Kolner3:5
- 18.10Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2
Head to head
- 25.09.2026Straubing Tigers — ERC Ingolstadt4:1
- 16.01.2026ERC Ingolstadt — Straubing Tigers5:4
- 04.01.2026Straubing Tigers — ERC Ingolstadt6:3
- 29.10.2025Straubing Tigers — ERC Ingolstadt4:6
- 03.10.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Straubing Tigers6:5 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Munchen | 14 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Straubing Tigers | 14 | 8 | +11 | 26 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Kolner | 15 | 6 | +4 | 25 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | ERC Ingolstadt | 15 | 5 | -8 | 20 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Augsburger Panther | 14 | 5 | +1 | 19 |
DEL on the same day
- Augsburger PantherMunchenpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Frankfurt LowenBremerhavenpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
- Grizzly WolfsburgEisbaren Berlinpreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.3
- Krefeld PinguineNurnberg Ice Tigerspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.6
- SchwenningerKolnerpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →