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DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Frankfurt Lowen — Bremerhaven

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Model prediction for 13 November

Frankfurt Lowen34%
Draw in regulation23%
Bremerhaven43%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bremerhaven are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.

Why

  • Bremerhaven are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Frankfurt Lowen — No. 10, 17 pts; Bremerhaven — No. 9, 19 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Frankfurt Lowen 2 wins, Bremerhaven 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Frankfurt Lowen — Bremerhaven2.2–2.5
Frankfurt Lowen to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Bremerhaven to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)37%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)63%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Frankfurt Lowen
  • Frankfurt Lowen goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Frankfurt Lowen

  • 01.11ERC Ingolstadt5:2
  • 29.10away · Augsburger Panther2:3 OT
  • 25.10Grizzly Wolfsburg1:2 SO
  • 23.10away · Adler Mannheim0:3
  • 18.10Iserlohn Roosters4:1

Bremerhaven

  • 01.11Straubing Tigers5:2
  • 30.10away · Adler Mannheim3:4 OT
  • 25.10ERC Ingolstadt6:2
  • 23.10away · Schwenninger2:4
  • 18.10away · Kolner1:4

Head to head

  • 04.10.2026Bremerhaven — Frankfurt Lowen2:1
  • 25.02.2026Frankfurt Lowen — Bremerhaven4:1
  • 28.12.2025Bremerhaven — Frankfurt Lowen5:4 OT
  • 28.11.2025Bremerhaven — Frankfurt Lowen5:2
  • 24.10.2025Frankfurt Lowen — Bremerhaven7:3

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAugsburger Panther14520743–42+119
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsBremerhaven14601732–37-519
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen14413632–33-117
11Krefeld Pinguine15502838–45-717

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →