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DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Schwenninger — Kolner

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Model prediction for 13 November

Schwenninger33%
Draw in regulation21%
Kolner46%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kolner are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • Kolner are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Schwenninger — No. 13, 16 pts; Kolner — No. 6, 25 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Schwenninger 2 wins, Kolner 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Schwenninger — Kolner2.7–3.1
Schwenninger to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Kolner to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Schwenninger
  • Schwenninger goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Schwenninger

  • 01.11Krefeld Pinguine4:3 OT
  • 30.10away · Iserlohn Roosters2:4
  • 28.10away · Krefeld Pinguine0:6
  • 25.10Eisbaren Berlin1:4
  • 23.10Bremerhaven4:2

Kolner

  • 01.11Iserlohn Roosters3:2 SO
  • 30.10away · Krefeld Pinguine4:0
  • 27.10Adler Mannheim5:6 OT
  • 23.10away · Straubing Tigers5:3
  • 20.10Schwenninger2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 20.10.2026Kolner — Schwenninger2:3 OT
  • 09.10.2026Kolner — Schwenninger1:4
  • 31.03.2026Kolner — Schwenninger2:1 OT
  • 29.03.2026Schwenninger — Kolner2:4
  • 27.03.2026Kolner — Schwenninger4:2

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers14810552–41+1126
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKolner15623457–53+425
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsERC Ingolstadt15521745–53-820
12Grizzly Wolfsburg15332736–51-1517
13Schwenninger16331937–60-2316
14, RelegationIserlohn Roosters14312832–52-2013

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →