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DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Krefeld Pinguine — Nurnberg Ice Tigers

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Model prediction for 13 November

Krefeld Pinguine35%
Draw in regulation21%
Nurnberg Ice Tigers44%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Nurnberg Ice Tigers are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.

Why

  • Nurnberg Ice Tigers are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Krefeld Pinguine — No. 11, 17 pts; Nurnberg Ice Tigers — No. 3, 28 pts. A gap of 11 pts.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Krefeld Pinguine — Nurnberg Ice Tigers2.7–3.0
Krefeld Pinguine to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Nurnberg Ice Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)54%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)46%

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Form

Krefeld Pinguine

  • 01.11away · Schwenninger3:4 OT
  • 30.10Kolner0:4
  • 28.10Schwenninger6:0
  • 25.10Munchen2:4
  • 23.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers2:7

Nurnberg Ice Tigers

  • 01.11away · Munchen1:2
  • 30.10Grizzly Wolfsburg8:1
  • 25.10away · Iserlohn Roosters4:2
  • 23.10Krefeld Pinguine7:2
  • 18.10Munchen6:2

Head to head

  • 23.10.2026Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Krefeld Pinguine7:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim15822353–38+1530
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsNurnberg Ice Tigers15901556–34+2228
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMunchen14811442–42027
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen14413632–33-117
11Krefeld Pinguine15502838–45-717
12Grizzly Wolfsburg15332736–51-1517

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →