NHL · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Florida Panthers — Chicago Blackhawks

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Model prediction for 5 November

Florida Panthers53%
Draw in regulation22%
Chicago Blackhawks25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Florida Panthers are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • Florida Panthers are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Florida Panthers — No. 11, 10 pts; Chicago Blackhawks — No. 27, 6 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Florida Panthers 4 wins, Chicago Blackhawks 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Florida Panthers — Chicago Blackhawks3.1–2.3
Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout)66%
Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout)34%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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Form

Florida Panthers

  • 16.10Vancouver Canucks3:2 OT
  • 14.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets7:3
  • 12.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:5
  • 11.10Minnesota Wild1:4
  • 07.10away · Los Angeles Kings2:1

Chicago Blackhawks

  • 16.10Winnipeg Jets4:3 OT
  • 14.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
  • 11.10Carolina Hurricanes2:5
  • 09.10away · New York Islanders1:4
  • 07.10St. Louis Blues4:2

Head to head

  • 26.01.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Florida Panthers1:5
  • 08.10.2025Florida Panthers — Chicago Blackhawks3:2
  • 01.02.2025Florida Panthers — Chicago Blackhawks5:1
  • 22.11.2024Chicago Blackhawks — Florida Panthers3:1
  • 12.11.2023Florida Panthers — Chicago Blackhawks4:3

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning750221–19+210
11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceFlorida Panthers842222–22010
12, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets742121–21010
26Detroit Red Wings722316–21-56
27Chicago Blackhawks830521–32-116
28Vancouver Canucks921628–41-135

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →