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Champions Hockey League (CHL) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Frolunda — Vaxjo

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Model prediction for 17 November

Frolunda54%
Draw in regulation21%
Vaxjo25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Frolunda are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.5.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Frolunda are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • Vaxjo: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Frolunda 4 wins, Vaxjo 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Frolunda — Vaxjo2.8–1.9
Frolunda to win (incl. OT and shootout)68%
Vaxjo to win (incl. OT and shootout)32%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Frolunda
  • Frolunda goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Frolunda

  • 31.10Linkoping4:1
  • 29.10away · Orebro2:3
  • 27.10Rogle4:5
  • 24.10away · HV 716:2
  • 22.10away · Rogle1:4

Vaxjo

  • 31.10Farjestad1:5
  • 29.10away · Timra0:3
  • 24.10away · Farjestad1:4
  • 22.10Lulea2:1
  • 17.10away · Brynas3:2

Head to head

  • 19.09.2026Frolunda — Vaxjo5:4
  • 10.02.2026Frolunda — Vaxjo1:2
  • 05.02.2026Vaxjo — Frolunda1:3
  • 03.01.2026Vaxjo — Frolunda2:3 SO
  • 30.10.2025Frolunda — Vaxjo3:0

Full record: 13 meetings →

Champions Hockey League on the same day

  • LiberecKolnerpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime5.5
  • PlzenDavospreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.3
  • TapparaAdler Mannheimpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime5.3
  • SkellefteaRoglepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime4.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →