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Champions Hockey League (CHL) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Plzen — Davos

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Model prediction for 17 November

Plzen59%
Draw in regulation19%
Davos21%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Plzen are clear favourites: 73% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.5).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • Plzen are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • Plzen: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Plzen — Davos3.2–2.1
Plzen to win (incl. OT and shootout)73%
Davos to win (incl. OT and shootout)27%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Plzen
  • Plzen goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Plzen

  • 01.11Kladno6:5 SO
  • 30.10Trinec4:2
  • 27.10Olomouc3:2 OT
  • 25.10away · Liberec0:2
  • 23.10away · Litvinov0:2

Davos

  • 31.10away · Lausanne2:3 OT
  • 30.10Rapperswil-Jona4:3 SO
  • 27.10away · Fribourg1:3
  • 24.10away · Langnau Tigers3:2 OT
  • 23.10Bern1:4

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Champions Hockey League on the same day

  • LiberecKolnerpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime5.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime5.3
  • FrolundaVaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime4.7
  • SkellefteaRoglepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime4.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →