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Champions Hockey League (CHL) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Skelleftea — Rogle

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Model prediction for 17 November

Skelleftea53%
Draw in regulation21%
Rogle25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Skelleftea are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.5.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

  • Skelleftea are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • Skelleftea: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Skelleftea 4 wins, Rogle 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Skelleftea — Rogle2.8–2.0
Skelleftea to win (incl. OT and shootout)67%
Rogle to win (incl. OT and shootout)33%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)59%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Skelleftea
  • Skelleftea goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Skelleftea

  • 31.10IF Bjorkloven5:3
  • 29.10Linkoping3:1
  • 24.10away · IF Bjorkloven8:1
  • 22.10Djurgarden4:1
  • 17.10away · Frolunda2:3 SO

Rogle

  • 31.10away · Orebro2:3 OT
  • 29.10Malmo0:3
  • 27.10away · Frolunda5:4
  • 24.10away · Brynas5:4 OT
  • 22.10Frolunda4:1

Head to head

  • 10.10.2026Skelleftea — Rogle3:2
  • 02.05.2026Skelleftea — Rogle7:3
  • 30.04.2026Rogle — Skelleftea2:3
  • 28.04.2026Rogle — Skelleftea2:1 OT
  • 25.04.2026Skelleftea — Rogle5:1

Full record: 23 meetings →

Champions Hockey League on the same day

  • LiberecKolnerpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime5.5
  • PlzenDavospreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.3
  • TapparaAdler Mannheimpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime5.3
  • FrolundaVaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime4.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →