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Champions Hockey League (CHL) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Tappara — Adler Mannheim

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Model prediction for 17 November

Tappara46%
Draw in regulation22%
Adler Mannheim32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Tappara are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.5).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • Tappara are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • Adler Mannheim: 4 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Tappara — Adler Mannheim2.9–2.4
Tappara to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Adler Mannheim to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Tappara
  • Tappara goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Tappara

  • 01.11Hameenlinna0:3
  • 30.10Ilves1:2 SO
  • 28.10away · JYP6:4
  • 24.10away · Pelicans4:5 SO
  • 21.10Assat3:0

Adler Mannheim

  • 01.11away · Eisbaren Berlin3:1
  • 30.10Bremerhaven4:3 OT
  • 27.10away · Kolner6:5 OT
  • 23.10Frankfurt Lowen3:0
  • 18.10Schwenninger1:2

Head to head

  • 07.09.2023Tappara — Adler Mannheim2:1 SO

Champions Hockey League on the same day

  • LiberecKolnerpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime5.5
  • PlzenDavospreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.3
  • FrolundaVaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime4.7
  • SkellefteaRoglepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime4.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →