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Champions Hockey League (CHL) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Liberec — Kolner

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Model prediction for 17 November

Liberec51%
Draw in regulation21%
Kolner28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Liberec are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.5).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • Liberec are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Liberec — Kolner3.1–2.4
Liberec to win (incl. OT and shootout)64%
Kolner to win (incl. OT and shootout)36%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Liberec
  • Liberec goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Liberec

  • 01.11Mountfield HK4:3 OT
  • 30.10away · Kladno2:4
  • 25.10Plzen2:0
  • 23.10Sparta Prague3:1
  • 20.10away · Vitkovice2:3 SO

Kolner

  • 01.11Iserlohn Roosters3:2 SO
  • 30.10away · Krefeld Pinguine4:0
  • 27.10Adler Mannheim5:6 OT
  • 23.10away · Straubing Tigers5:3
  • 20.10Schwenninger2:3 OT

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Champions Hockey League on the same day

  • PlzenDavospreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.3
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime5.3
  • FrolundaVaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime4.7
  • SkellefteaRoglepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime4.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →