Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

Gomel — Yunost Minsk

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Model prediction for 4 November

Gomel58%
Draw in regulation20%
Yunost Minsk22%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Gomel are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

  • Gomel are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Gomel 1 win, Yunost Minsk 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Gomel — Yunost Minsk3.0–1.9
Gomel to win (incl. OT and shootout)70%
Yunost Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)30%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)59%

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Form

Gomel

  • 15.10Slavutych2:3
  • 11.10away · Mogilev5:1
  • 09.10away · Mogilev3:2
  • 05.10Lokomotiv Orsha5:2
  • 03.10Lokomotiv Orsha4:3

Yunost Minsk

  • 15.10away · Vitebsk2:0
  • 12.10Soligorsk1:7
  • 10.10Soligorsk4:6
  • 04.10Zhlobin1:4
  • 03.10Zhlobin1:4

Head to head

  • 23.12.2025Gomel — Yunost Minsk3:5
  • 21.12.2025Gomel — Yunost Minsk3:4
  • 19.09.2025Yunost Minsk — Gomel4:2
  • 17.09.2025Yunost Minsk — Gomel1:0
  • 13.02.2025Gomel — Yunost Minsk5:3

Full record: 65 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • BrestMogilevpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 116%Model's score: 5:26.0
  • LidaSoligorskpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →