AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Van Andel Arena
Grand Rapids Griffins — Chicago Wolves
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
5:1Came true
In short
Final score 5:1: the model's most likely outcome, Grand Rapids Griffins to win (62% incl. overtime), came true.
Grand Rapids Griffins are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- Grand Rapids Griffins are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.
- Grand Rapids Griffins: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Grand Rapids Griffins — Chicago Wolves | 3.0–2.4 | |
| Grand Rapids Griffins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Chicago Wolves to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Grand Rapids Griffins
- Grand Rapids Griffins goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Milwaukee Admirals1:4
- 10.10Manitoba Moose2:1
- 04.10away · Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
- 03.10away · Cleveland Monsters5:2
- 22.05away · Chicago Wolves2:3
- 11.10Manitoba Moose1:6
- 04.10away · Manitoba Moose3:8
- 03.10away · Manitoba Moose0:3
- 20.06away · Toronto Marlies3:4
- 19.06away · Toronto Marlies4:3 OT
Head to head
- 22.05.2026Chicago Wolves — Grand Rapids Griffins3:2
- 20.05.2026Chicago Wolves — Grand Rapids Griffins3:4 OT
- 17.05.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Chicago Wolves3:4 OT
- 15.05.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Chicago Wolves1:2
- 11.04.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Chicago Wolves1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 4 | 2 | +5 | 6 | .750 |
| 11 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 5 | 3 | +4 | 7 | .700 |
| 12 | Ontario Reign | 3 | 2 | -2 | 4 | .667 |
| 31 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 3 | 0 | -7 | 1 | .167 |
| 32 | Chicago Wolves | 4 | 0 | -17 | 0 | .000 |
Next matches
- Rockford IceHogsGrand Rapids Griffins18 October · AHL35652The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
- Chicago WolvesIowa Wild18 October · AHL56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.6
AHL on the same day
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%1:7Final score 1:7. Model's score: 2:4.5.5
- 50501The most likely outcome came true: 122%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:2.5.5
- 40602The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 2:4.5.6
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.7
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 3:2.5.4
- 42582The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:3.5.1
- 65351The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
- 47532The most likely outcome came true: 221%4:5OTFinal score 4:5 in overtime. Model's score: 2:4.5.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →