AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Grand Rapids Griffins — Rockford IceHogs

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Model prediction for 18 October

Grand Rapids Griffins55%
Draw in regulation20%
Rockford IceHogs24%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Grand Rapids Griffins are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Grand Rapids Griffins are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Grand Rapids Griffins — Rockford IceHogs3.2–2.2
Grand Rapids Griffins to win (incl. OT and shootout)68%
Rockford IceHogs to win (incl. OT and shootout)32%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Grand Rapids Griffins goals
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Form

Grand Rapids Griffins

  • 11.10Chicago Wolves5:1
  • 11.10away · Milwaukee Admirals1:4
  • 10.10Manitoba Moose2:1
  • 04.10away · Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
  • 03.10away · Cleveland Monsters5:2

Rockford IceHogs

  • 11.10away · Iowa Wild3:4
  • 10.10away · Iowa Wild2:1
  • 04.10Milwaukee Admirals1:3
  • 19.04away · Texas Stars1:5
  • 18.04away · Texas Stars1:6

Head to head

  • 12.04.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Rockford IceHogs2:5
  • 02.04.2026Rockford IceHogs — Grand Rapids Griffins0:5
  • 23.03.2026Rockford IceHogs — Grand Rapids Griffins4:1
  • 21.03.2026Rockford IceHogs — Grand Rapids Griffins2:4
  • 05.03.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Rockford IceHogs7:3

Full record: 38 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
10Coachella Valley Firebirds422019–14+56.750
11Grand Rapids Griffins531117–13+47.700
12Ontario Reign320111–13-24.667
25Texas Stars41129–15-63.375
26Rockford IceHogs31026–8-22.333
27Henderson Silver Knights31025–8-32.333

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →