AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Grand Rapids Griffins — Texas Stars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Grand Rapids Griffins are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- Grand Rapids Griffins are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Grand Rapids Griffins — No. 11, 7 pts; Texas Stars — No. 27, 3 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Texas Stars: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Grand Rapids Griffins 4 wins, Texas Stars 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Grand Rapids Griffins — Texas Stars | 3.0–2.4 | |
| Grand Rapids Griffins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Texas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Grand Rapids Griffins
- Grand Rapids Griffins goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Chicago Wolves5:1
- 11.10away · Milwaukee Admirals1:4
- 10.10Manitoba Moose2:1
- 04.10away · Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
- 03.10away · Cleveland Monsters5:2
- 12.10away · Hershey Bears1:6
- 11.10away · Hershey Bears1:2
- 04.10Iowa Wild3:4 SO
- 03.10Iowa Wild4:3 SO
- 06.05away · Chicago Wolves1:6
Head to head
- 16.02.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Texas Stars5:0
- 14.02.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Texas Stars4:2
- 10.01.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Texas Stars0:2
- 08.01.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Texas Stars3:2
- 27.11.2025Texas Stars — Grand Rapids Griffins3:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ontario Reign | 4 | 3 | -1 | 6 | .750 |
| 11 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 5 | 3 | +4 | 7 | .700 |
| 12 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 4 | 2 | +8 | 5 | .625 |
| 26 | Abbotsford Canucks | 4 | 1 | -4 | 3 | .375 |
| 27 | Texas Stars | 4 | 1 | -6 | 3 | .375 |
| 28 | Rockford IceHogs | 3 | 1 | -2 | 2 | .333 |
AHL on the same day
- Hamilton HammersToronto Marliespreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:46.2
- Hershey BearsHartford Wolf Packpreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
- Laval RocketLehigh Valley Phantomspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.6
- Rochester AmericansCleveland Monsterspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Coachella Valley FirebirdsColorado Eaglespreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Ontario ReignSan Jose Barracudapreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Iowa WildRockford IceHogspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →