PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

HC Yugra — Orsk

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 5 November

HC Yugra65%
Draw in regulation20%
Orsk15%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

HC Yugra are clear favourites: 79% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 20%.

Why

  • HC Yugra are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 1.2.

Facts

  • League table: HC Yugra — No. 19, 14 pts; Orsk — No. 8, 19 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: HC Yugra 4 wins, Orsk 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: HC Yugra — Orsk2.5–1.2
HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout)79%
Orsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)21%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)20%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)80%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap HC Yugra
  • HC Yugra goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

HC Yugra

  • 15.10Tambov6:1
  • 13.10Buran Voronezh0:1
  • 01.10away · Omskie Krylia0:1
  • 29.09away · Kurgan3:0
  • 27.09away · Rubin Tyumen3:4

Orsk

  • 12.10away · Kaluga2:1 SO
  • 10.10away · AKM0:3
  • 08.10away · Ryazan3:2 OT
  • 30.09Bars4:0
  • 28.09Almetyevsk2:1

Head to head

  • 12.01.2026HC Yugra — Orsk3:2 OT
  • 01.11.2025Orsk — HC Yugra0:3
  • 30.01.2025HC Yugra — Orsk2:0
  • 21.10.2024Orsk — HC Yugra2:1 SO
  • 06.02.2024Orsk — HC Yugra3:4

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, PlayoffsHC Norilsk1592435–33+220
8, PlayoffsOrsk1283135–22+1319
9, PlayoffsKhimik1482446–28+1818
18Rubin Tyumen1371531–35-415
19HC Yugra1370626–19+714
20Magnitka Magnitogorsk1254325–23+214

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • HC NorilskSKA-VMF St. Petersburgpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
  • AKMAlmetyevskpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
  • DizelIzhevskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.3
  • RyazanCSK VVSpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →