AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
Henderson Silver Knights — Coachella Valley Firebirds
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Henderson Silver Knights 50%, Coachella Valley Firebirds 50% including overtime.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Henderson Silver Knights — Coachella Valley Firebirds | 2.9–2.9 | |
| Henderson Silver Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Coachella Valley Firebirds to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Henderson Silver Knights
- Henderson Silver Knights goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · San Diego Gulls0:2
- 05.10Bakersfield Condors1:3
- 04.10Bakersfield Condors4:3
- 10.05away · Colorado Eagles2:6
- 07.05away · Colorado Eagles0:4
- 12.10Ontario Reign2:3 OT
- 10.10San Diego Gulls6:3
- 04.10away · Ontario Reign6:2
- 03.10Ontario Reign5:6 OT
- 21.05away · Colorado Eagles2:3
Head to head
- 09.04.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Henderson Silver Knights1:3
- 05.03.2026Henderson Silver Knights — Coachella Valley Firebirds5:1
- 27.02.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — Henderson Silver Knights2:6
- 08.02.2026Henderson Silver Knights — Coachella Valley Firebirds3:4 OT
- 07.02.2026Henderson Silver Knights — Coachella Valley Firebirds3:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cleveland Monsters | 4 | 3 | +2 | 6 | .750 |
| 10 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 4 | 2 | +5 | 6 | .750 |
| 11 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 5 | 3 | +4 | 7 | .700 |
| 26 | Rockford IceHogs | 3 | 1 | -2 | 2 | .333 |
| 27 | Henderson Silver Knights | 3 | 1 | -3 | 2 | .333 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 4 | 1 | -9 | 2 | .250 |
AHL on the same day
- 50502The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.8
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →