AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Henderson Silver Knights — Tucson Roadrunners
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Henderson Silver Knights are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.
Why
- Henderson Silver Knights are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Henderson Silver Knights — No. 27, 2 pts; Tucson Roadrunners — No. 19, 4 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Henderson Silver Knights 3 wins, Tucson Roadrunners 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Henderson Silver Knights — Tucson Roadrunners | 3.1–2.8 | |
| Henderson Silver Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Tucson Roadrunners to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 60% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Henderson Silver Knights
- Henderson Silver Knights goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · San Diego Gulls0:2
- 05.10Bakersfield Condors1:3
- 04.10Bakersfield Condors4:3
- 10.05away · Colorado Eagles2:6
- 07.05away · Colorado Eagles0:4
- 11.10away · San Jose Barracuda4:1
- 10.10away · San Jose Barracuda7:4
- 05.10Colorado Eagles3:5
- 04.10Colorado Eagles0:2
- 19.04Henderson Silver Knights5:4
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Tucson Roadrunners — Henderson Silver Knights5:4
- 18.04.2026Tucson Roadrunners — Henderson Silver Knights2:1 SO
- 05.04.2026Henderson Silver Knights — Tucson Roadrunners5:4
- 04.04.2026Henderson Silver Knights — Tucson Roadrunners4:3
- 12.03.2026Tucson Roadrunners — Henderson Silver Knights6:7 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 5 | 3 | -3 | 6 | .600 |
| 19 | Tucson Roadrunners | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | .500 |
| 20 | Bakersfield Condors | 4 | 2 | +1 | 4 | .500 |
| 26 | Rockford IceHogs | 3 | 1 | -2 | 2 | .333 |
| 27 | Henderson Silver Knights | 3 | 1 | -3 | 2 | .333 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 4 | 1 | -9 | 2 | .250 |
AHL on the same day
- Charlotte CheckersSpringfield Thunderbirdspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonHartford Wolf Packpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Grand Rapids GriffinsCleveland Monsterspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Hershey BearsBelleville Senatorspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Iowa WildManitoba Moosepreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsSyracuse Crunchpreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.4
- Providence BruinsUtica Cometspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- Abbotsford CanucksCalgary Wranglerspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →