AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Hershey Bears — Hartford Wolf Pack
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Hershey Bears are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- Hershey Bears are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Hershey Bears — No. 8, 6 pts; Hartford Wolf Pack — No. 17, 6 pts.
- Hershey Bears: 3 wins in a row; Hartford Wolf Pack: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Hershey Bears 2 wins, Hartford Wolf Pack 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hershey Bears — Hartford Wolf Pack | 3.1–2.5 | |
| Hershey Bears to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Hartford Wolf Pack to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Hershey Bears
- Hershey Bears goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Texas Stars6:1
- 11.10Texas Stars2:1
- 04.10Charlotte Checkers3:2
- 04.10Charlotte Checkers2:5
- 08.05Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:4
- 15.10Lehigh Valley Phantoms1:4
- 11.10Laval Rocket2:5
- 11.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:7
- 10.10away · Providence Bruins2:0
- 05.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:2
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Hershey Bears1:8
- 08.03.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Hershey Bears5:2
- 21.01.2026Hershey Bears — Hartford Wolf Pack4:5 OT
- 15.01.2026Hershey Bears — Hartford Wolf Pack2:3 OT
- 07.04.2025Hershey Bears — Hartford Wolf Pack2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Toronto Marlies | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 8 | Hershey Bears | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 9 | Cleveland Monsters | 4 | 3 | +2 | 6 | .750 |
| 16 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 5 | 2 | +1 | 6 | .600 |
| 17 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 | .500 |
| 18 | Tucson Roadrunners | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | .500 |
AHL on the same day
- Grand Rapids GriffinsTexas Starspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.4
- Hamilton HammersToronto Marliespreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:46.2
- Laval RocketLehigh Valley Phantomspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.6
- Rochester AmericansCleveland Monsterspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Coachella Valley FirebirdsColorado Eaglespreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Ontario ReignSan Jose Barracudapreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Iowa WildRockford IceHogspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →