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AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Hershey Bears — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton

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Model prediction for 14 November

Hershey Bears34%
Draw in regulation21%
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.

Why

  • Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Hershey Bears — No. 12, 12 pts; Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — No. 14, 11 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Hershey Bears 1 win, Wilkes-Barre/Scranton 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Hershey Bears — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2.7–3.0
Hershey Bears to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)56%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)44%

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Form

Hershey Bears

  • 02.11Wilkes-Barre/Scranton0:5
  • 31.10away · Toronto Marlies3:5
  • 29.10away · Rochester Americans3:2
  • 25.10Belleville Senators5:2
  • 18.10Providence Bruins1:6

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton

  • 02.11away · Hershey Bears5:0
  • 31.10away · Utica Comets3:4
  • 25.10Hartford Wolf Pack3:2
  • 24.10Belleville Senators3:7
  • 17.10away · Cleveland Monsters6:3

Head to head

  • 02.11.2026Hershey Bears — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton0:5
  • 08.05.2026Hershey Bears — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:4
  • 06.05.2026Hershey Bears — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:4 OT
  • 03.05.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Hershey Bears1:2
  • 01.05.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Hershey Bears4:2

Full record: 39 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
11Cleveland Monsters1060435–36-112.600
12Hershey Bears1060430–32-212.600
13Toronto Marlies1161435–34+113.591
14Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1051439–29+1011.550
15Rochester Americans1051433–25+811.550

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →