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AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Rockford IceHogs — Milwaukee Admirals

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Model prediction for 14 November

Rockford IceHogs32%
Draw in regulation22%
Milwaukee Admirals46%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Milwaukee Admirals are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

  • Milwaukee Admirals are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Rockford IceHogs — No. 27, 8 pts; Milwaukee Admirals — No. 6, 14 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Rockford IceHogs 2 wins, Milwaukee Admirals 3.
  • Days of rest before the match: Rockford IceHogs 12, Milwaukee Admirals 14.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rockford IceHogs — Milwaukee Admirals2.3–2.7
Rockford IceHogs to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Milwaukee Admirals to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)58%

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Form

Rockford IceHogs

  • 02.11Texas Stars4:3
  • 31.10Manitoba Moose3:6
  • 25.10away · Toronto Marlies3:0
  • 24.10away · Toronto Marlies3:2 OT
  • 18.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:5

Milwaukee Admirals

  • 31.10away · Cleveland Monsters4:1
  • 31.10away · Cleveland Monsters2:5
  • 29.10Manitoba Moose3:0
  • 25.10Chicago Wolves2:1 SO
  • 25.10away · Chicago Wolves2:4

Head to head

  • 04.10.2026Rockford IceHogs — Milwaukee Admirals1:3
  • 12.03.2026Milwaukee Admirals — Rockford IceHogs2:1 OT
  • 16.02.2026Rockford IceHogs — Milwaukee Admirals1:4
  • 15.02.2026Rockford IceHogs — Milwaukee Admirals6:2
  • 08.02.2026Milwaukee Admirals — Rockford IceHogs1:3

Full record: 40 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
5Tucson Roadrunners1172237–25+1216.727
6Milwaukee Admirals1070326–20+614.700
7Manitoba Moose1280447–32+1516.667
26Springfield Thunderbirds1033425–33-89.450
27Rockford IceHogs1040622–30-88.400
28San Jose Barracuda1040631–43-128.400

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →