AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Syracuse Crunch — Toronto Marlies
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Syracuse Crunch are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Syracuse Crunch are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Syracuse Crunch — No. 16, 11 pts; Toronto Marlies — No. 13, 13 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Syracuse Crunch 2 wins, Toronto Marlies 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Syracuse Crunch — Toronto Marlies | 2.8–2.5 | |
| Syracuse Crunch to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Toronto Marlies to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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Form
- 31.10Hamilton Hammers7:0
- 25.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms7:2
- 24.10Rochester Americans2:3 OT
- 22.10away · Laval Rocket1:5
- 18.10away · Hamilton Hammers4:3
- 01.11away · Belleville Senators1:4
- 31.10Hershey Bears5:3
- 25.10Rockford IceHogs0:3
- 24.10Rockford IceHogs2:3 OT
- 22.10Hamilton Hammers4:1
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Syracuse Crunch — Toronto Marlies1:4
- 12.03.2026Syracuse Crunch — Toronto Marlies1:5
- 01.01.2026Toronto Marlies — Syracuse Crunch2:1 OT
- 30.10.2025Toronto Marlies — Syracuse Crunch4:5
- 05.04.2025Toronto Marlies — Syracuse Crunch2:3 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hershey Bears | 10 | 6 | -2 | 12 | .600 |
| 13 | Toronto Marlies | 11 | 6 | +1 | 13 | .591 |
| 14 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 10 | 5 | +10 | 11 | .550 |
| 15 | Rochester Americans | 10 | 5 | +8 | 11 | .550 |
| 16 | Syracuse Crunch | 10 | 5 | 0 | 11 | .550 |
| 17 | San Diego Gulls | 11 | 5 | +1 | 12 | .545 |
AHL on the same day
- Hershey BearsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsHamilton Hammerspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Providence BruinsSpringfield Thunderbirdspreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.5
- Rochester AmericansLaval Rocketpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
- Iowa WildGrand Rapids Griffinspreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- Rockford IceHogsMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:44.9
- Bakersfield CondorsSan Diego Gullspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →