AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Providence Bruins — Springfield Thunderbirds
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Providence Bruins are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Providence Bruins are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Providence Bruins — No. 23, 10 pts; Springfield Thunderbirds — No. 26, 9 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Providence Bruins: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Providence Bruins 2 wins, Springfield Thunderbirds 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Providence Bruins — Springfield Thunderbirds | 3.1–2.4 | |
| Providence Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 64% | |
| Springfield Thunderbirds to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 36% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Providence Bruins
- Providence Bruins goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 01.11away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms8:0
- 31.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds7:6 OT
- 25.10Utica Comets5:2
- 24.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack0:2
- 18.10away · Hershey Bears6:1
- 01.11Hartford Wolf Pack2:4
- 31.10Providence Bruins6:7 OT
- 25.10away · Charlotte Checkers2:1
- 24.10away · Charlotte Checkers2:3
- 18.10Lehigh Valley Phantoms2:3 OT
Head to head
- 31.10.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Providence Bruins6:7 OT
- 04.10.2026Providence Bruins — Springfield Thunderbirds0:2
- 08.05.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Providence Bruins1:0 OT
- 06.05.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Providence Bruins3:2 OT
- 04.05.2026Providence Bruins — Springfield Thunderbirds2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 11 | 4 | -6 | 11 | .500 |
| 23 | Providence Bruins | 11 | 5 | +8 | 10 | .455 |
| 24 | Ontario Reign | 11 | 5 | -9 | 10 | .455 |
| 25 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 10 | 4 | -14 | 9 | .450 |
| 26 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 10 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .450 |
| 27 | Rockford IceHogs | 10 | 4 | -8 | 8 | .400 |
AHL on the same day
- Hershey BearsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Syracuse CrunchToronto Marliespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsHamilton Hammerspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Rochester AmericansLaval Rocketpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
- Iowa WildGrand Rapids Griffinspreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- Rockford IceHogsMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:44.9
- Bakersfield CondorsSan Diego Gullspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →