AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Hamilton Hammers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lehigh Valley Phantoms are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Lehigh Valley Phantoms — No. 25, 9 pts; Hamilton Hammers — No. 31, 8 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Hamilton Hammers | 2.8–2.6 | |
| Lehigh Valley Phantoms to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Hamilton Hammers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lehigh Valley Phantoms
- Lehigh Valley Phantoms goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11Providence Bruins0:8
- 31.10away · Rochester Americans3:6
- 25.10Belleville Senators2:0
- 25.10Syracuse Crunch2:7
- 18.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds3:2 OT
- 01.11away · Utica Comets2:3 SO
- 31.10away · Syracuse Crunch0:7
- 30.10Hartford Wolf Pack5:4 OT
- 24.10away · Laval Rocket2:1
- 24.10away · Laval Rocket2:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Ontario Reign | 11 | 5 | -9 | 10 | .455 |
| 25 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 10 | 4 | -14 | 9 | .450 |
| 26 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 10 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .450 |
| 30 | Iowa Wild | 12 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .375 |
| 31 | Hamilton Hammers | 12 | 3 | -18 | 8 | .333 |
| 32 | Texas Stars | 10 | 2 | -13 | 6 | .300 |
AHL on the same day
- Hershey BearsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.8
- Syracuse CrunchToronto Marliespreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Providence BruinsSpringfield Thunderbirdspreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.5
- Rochester AmericansLaval Rocketpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.2
- Iowa WildGrand Rapids Griffinspreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- Rockford IceHogsMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:44.9
- Bakersfield CondorsSan Diego Gullspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →