VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Kaluga — Bars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kaluga are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 19%.
Why
- Kaluga are more dangerous in attack: 2.2 expected goals against 1.4.
Facts
- League table: Kaluga — No. 4, 21 pts; Bars — No. 12, 17 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Bars: 5 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kaluga — Bars | 2.2–1.4 | |
| Kaluga to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Bars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 19% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 81% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kaluga
- Kaluga goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk3:1
- 12.10Orsk1:2 SO
- 07.10away · Perm3:1
- 05.10away · Toros Neftekamsk1:0
- 03.10away · Izhevsk3:1
- 14.10Dinamo St. Petersburg4:2
- 12.10Zvezda Moscow5:2
- 10.10Khimik2:1
- 06.10away · Gornyak3:2
- 04.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs | AKM | 15 | 9 | +13 | 21 |
| 4, Playoffs | Kaluga | 14 | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 5, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 15 | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 11, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 13 | 8 | +10 | 17 |
| 12, Playoffs | Bars | 15 | 8 | -7 | 17 |
| 13, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 13 | 8 | -8 | 17 |
VHL on the same day
- Metallurg NovokuznetskKhimikpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- Omskie KryliaChelmet Chelyabinskpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- KrasnoyarskZvezda Moscowpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- KurganMagnitka Magnitogorskpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
- Buran VoronezhToros Neftekamskpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →