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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Karlovy Vary — Vitkovice

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Model prediction for 20 November

Karlovy Vary53%
Draw in regulation22%
Vitkovice25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Karlovy Vary are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.

Why

  • Karlovy Vary are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Karlovy Vary — No. 4, 28 pts; Vitkovice — No. 13, 16 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Karlovy Vary 5 wins, Vitkovice 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Karlovy Vary — Vitkovice2.7–1.9
Karlovy Vary to win (incl. OT and shootout)66%
Vitkovice to win (incl. OT and shootout)34%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)37%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)63%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Karlovy Vary
  • Karlovy Vary goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Karlovy Vary

  • 01.11away · Ceske Budejovice3:2
  • 30.10Pardubice2:4
  • 27.10Mlada Boleslav1:2
  • 25.10away · Trinec1:2
  • 23.10away · Mountfield HK4:3 OT

Vitkovice

  • 01.11Trinec1:3
  • 30.10away · Litvinov3:2
  • 25.10away · Kladno1:2
  • 23.10Kometa Brno3:2
  • 20.10Liberec3:2 SO

Head to head

  • 02.10.2026Vitkovice — Karlovy Vary0:3
  • 12.03.2026Vitkovice — Karlovy Vary1:2
  • 10.03.2026Karlovy Vary — Vitkovice5:2
  • 09.03.2026Karlovy Vary — Vitkovice3:1
  • 09.01.2026Vitkovice — Karlovy Vary3:4 OT

Full record: 21 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKladno17733453–49+430
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKarlovy Vary17820741–33+828
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCeske Budejovice17802745–47-226
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav174211035–57-2217
13Vitkovice16412938–52-1416
14, Relegation play-offOlomouc173121132–55-2313

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • LitvinovTrinecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
  • Mlada BoleslavKometa Brnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • PlzenPardubicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
  • Mountfield HKKladnopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • OlomoucLiberecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →