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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Litvinov — Trinec

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Model prediction for 20 November

Litvinov29%
Draw in regulation22%
Trinec50%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Trinec are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.

Why

  • Trinec are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Litvinov — No. 11, 21 pts; Trinec — No. 1, 42 pts. A gap of 21 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Litvinov 1 win, Trinec 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Litvinov — Trinec2.2–2.8
Litvinov to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Trinec to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)43%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)57%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Litvinov
  • Litvinov goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Litvinov

  • 01.11away · Sparta Prague0:3
  • 30.10Vitkovice2:3
  • 27.10away · Pardubice3:2
  • 25.10Kometa Brno1:4
  • 23.10Plzen2:0

Trinec

  • 01.11away · Vitkovice3:1
  • 30.10away · Plzen2:4
  • 28.10away · Kometa Brno4:3 OT
  • 25.10Karlovy Vary2:1
  • 23.10Ceske Budejovice2:6

Head to head

  • 02.10.2026Trinec — Litvinov3:2
  • 04.03.2026Litvinov — Trinec1:4
  • 04.01.2026Trinec — Litvinov3:2 OT
  • 23.11.2025Litvinov — Trinec5:2
  • 05.10.2025Trinec — Litvinov3:1

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsTrinec171311267–39+2842
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPardubice171111464–43+2136
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno16533543–43024
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov17611936–45-921
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav174211035–57-2217

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • Karlovy VaryVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • Mlada BoleslavKometa Brnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • PlzenPardubicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
  • Mountfield HKKladnopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • OlomoucLiberecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →