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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Olomouc — Liberec

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Model prediction for 20 November

Olomouc29%
Draw in regulation22%
Liberec49%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Liberec are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.

Why

  • Liberec are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Olomouc — No. 14, 13 pts; Liberec — No. 8, 24 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Olomouc 1 win, Liberec 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Olomouc — Liberec2.1–2.7
Olomouc to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Liberec to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)39%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)61%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Olomouc
  • Olomouc goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Olomouc

  • 01.11away · Kometa Brno2:3
  • 30.10Ceske Budejovice4:0
  • 27.10away · Plzen2:3 OT
  • 24.10away · Sparta Prague1:2 OT
  • 22.10Mlada Boleslav4:2

Liberec

  • 01.11Mountfield HK4:3 OT
  • 30.10away · Kladno2:4
  • 25.10Plzen2:0
  • 23.10Sparta Prague3:1
  • 20.10away · Vitkovice2:3 SO

Head to head

  • 02.10.2026Liberec — Olomouc2:0
  • 01.03.2026Liberec — Olomouc6:3
  • 02.01.2026Olomouc — Liberec5:3
  • 12.11.2025Liberec — Olomouc4:2
  • 03.10.2025Olomouc — Liberec0:1

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlzen17461644–42+225
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec16614544–43+124
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMountfield HK16622643–42+124
13Vitkovice16412938–52-1416
14, Relegation play-offOlomouc173121132–55-2313

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • Karlovy VaryVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • LitvinovTrinecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
  • Mlada BoleslavKometa Brnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • PlzenPardubicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
  • Mountfield HKKladnopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →