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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Mlada Boleslav — Kometa Brno

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Model prediction for 20 November

Mlada Boleslav36%
Draw in regulation23%
Kometa Brno42%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kometa Brno are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Mlada Boleslav — No. 12, 17 pts; Kometa Brno — No. 10, 24 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Mlada Boleslav 1 win, Kometa Brno 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Mlada Boleslav — Kometa Brno2.3–2.5
Mlada Boleslav to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Kometa Brno to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)40%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)60%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Mlada Boleslav
  • Mlada Boleslav goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Mlada Boleslav

  • 01.11away · Pardubice0:4
  • 30.10Sparta Prague1:4
  • 27.10away · Karlovy Vary2:1
  • 25.10Ceske Budejovice3:2 SO
  • 22.10away · Olomouc2:4

Kometa Brno

  • 01.11Olomouc3:2
  • 28.10Trinec3:4 OT
  • 25.10away · Litvinov4:1
  • 23.10away · Vitkovice2:3
  • 20.10away · Karlovy Vary1:2 OT

Head to head

  • 02.10.2026Kometa Brno — Mlada Boleslav3:2 SO
  • 11.01.2026Kometa Brno — Mlada Boleslav3:2 OT
  • 30.11.2025Mlada Boleslav — Kometa Brno3:4
  • 17.10.2025Kometa Brno — Mlada Boleslav1:4
  • 12.09.2025Mlada Boleslav — Kometa Brno1:3

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMountfield HK16622643–42+124
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno16533543–43024
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov17611936–45-921
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav174211035–57-2217
13Vitkovice16412938–52-1416

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • Karlovy VaryVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • LitvinovTrinecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
  • PlzenPardubicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
  • Mountfield HKKladnopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • OlomoucLiberecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →