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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Plzen — Pardubice

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Model prediction for 20 November

Plzen37%
Draw in regulation23%
Pardubice40%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Plzen 48%, Pardubice 52% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Plzen — No. 7, 25 pts; Pardubice — No. 2, 36 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
  • Plzen: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Plzen 3 wins, Pardubice 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Plzen — Pardubice2.3–2.4
Plzen to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Pardubice to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)36%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)64%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Plzen
  • Plzen goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Plzen

  • 01.11Kladno6:5 SO
  • 30.10Trinec4:2
  • 27.10Olomouc3:2 OT
  • 25.10away · Liberec0:2
  • 23.10away · Litvinov0:2

Pardubice

  • 01.11Mlada Boleslav4:0
  • 30.10away · Karlovy Vary4:2
  • 27.10Litvinov2:3
  • 25.10away · Mountfield HK0:2
  • 23.10away · Kladno3:4 OT

Head to head

  • 02.10.2026Pardubice — Plzen4:2
  • 25.01.2026Pardubice — Plzen3:4 OT
  • 21.12.2025Plzen — Pardubice1:2
  • 28.10.2025Pardubice — Plzen1:3
  • 21.09.2025Plzen — Pardubice2:1

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsTrinec171311267–39+2842
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPardubice171111464–43+2136
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKladno17733453–49+430
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague17712745–40+525
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlzen17461644–42+225
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec16614544–43+124

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • Karlovy VaryVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • LitvinovTrinecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
  • Mlada BoleslavKometa Brnopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
  • Mountfield HKKladnopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • OlomoucLiberecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →