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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 9 October, MSK · CEZ Stadion

Kladno — Mlada Boleslav

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Model prediction and result

4:3Came true
Kladno50%
Draw in regulation22%
Mlada Boleslav28%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 4:3: the model's most likely outcome, Kladno to win (63% incl. overtime), came true.

Kladno are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.

Why

  • Kladno are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kladno — Mlada Boleslav2.7–2.0
Kladno to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Mlada Boleslav to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)37%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)63%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Kladno
  • Kladno goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kladno

  • 04.10away · Litvinov3:2 OT
  • 02.10Mountfield HK3:4 SO
  • 29.09away · Trinec4:6
  • 27.09Olomouc1:4
  • 25.09Plzen3:4 OT

Mlada Boleslav

  • 04.10Liberec3:5
  • 02.10away · Kometa Brno2:3 SO
  • 29.09Plzen1:4
  • 27.09away · Vitkovice2:6
  • 25.09Pardubice1:4

Head to head

  • 09.01.2026Mlada Boleslav — Kladno1:5
  • 28.11.2025Kladno — Mlada Boleslav5:0
  • 12.10.2025Mlada Boleslav — Kladno2:1 SO
  • 10.09.2025Kladno — Mlada Boleslav1:2
  • 04.03.2025Mlada Boleslav — Kladno5:8

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCeske Budejovice10501427–31-416
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKladno10322329–32-315
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague10402431–28+314
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno9221425–28-311
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav10211623–36-139
13Vitkovice9201621–32-117

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • Mlada BoleslavLitvinov11 October · Czech Extraliga
    1The most likely outcome came true: 123%Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.6
  • Karlovy VaryKladno11 October · Czech Extraliga
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 3:1. Model's score: 3:1, exactly right.4.8

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • TrinecMountfield HK
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 5:2. Model's score: 3:1.4.9
  • LitvinovOlomouc
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 3:1. Model's score: 4:2.4.9
  • VitkovicePardubice
    2The most likely outcome came true: 220%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:4.5.5
  • LiberecKarlovy Vary
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 5:0. Model's score: 3:1.4.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →