Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Kokshetau — Almaty

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Model prediction for 25 October

Kokshetau66%
Draw in regulation18%
Almaty16%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kokshetau are clear favourites: 78% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

  • Kokshetau are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 1.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kokshetau — Almaty3.4–1.8
Kokshetau to win (incl. OT and shootout)78%
Almaty to win (incl. OT and shootout)22%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)54%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Kokshetau
  • Kokshetau goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Kokshetau

  • 11.10Nomad Astana2:4
  • 10.10Nomad Astana3:2 OT
  • 07.10away · Kulager4:3
  • 06.10away · Kulager4:3
  • 03.10Almaty3:2

Almaty

  • 12.10Gornyak Rudny5:2
  • 11.10Gornyak Rudny0:3
  • 07.10away · Beibarys Atyrau3:5
  • 06.10away · Beibarys Atyrau4:1
  • 03.10away · Kokshetau2:3

Head to head

  • 03.10.2026Kokshetau — Almaty3:2
  • 02.10.2026Kokshetau — Almaty1:2
  • 16.01.2026Almaty — Kokshetau0:2
  • 15.01.2026Almaty — Kokshetau1:3
  • 23.11.2025Almaty — Kokshetau2:4

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, PlayoffsTorpedo18132388–36+5228
3, PlayoffsKokshetau18131464–43+2127
4, PlayoffsGornyak Rudny18121571–44+2725
6, PlayoffsKulager1894564–52+1222
7, PlayoffsAlmaty1890949–57-818
8, PlayoffsAktobe18411345–83-389

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Kazakhstan Championship on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →