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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Krasnoyarsk — Olympia

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Model prediction and result

3:4Missed
Krasnoyarsk46%
Draw in regulation23%
Olympia30%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:4: the model's most likely outcome, Krasnoyarsk to win (59% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 59% fails in about 41 matches out of 100 on average.

Krasnoyarsk are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 30%.

Why

  • Krasnoyarsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 1.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Krasnoyarsk — Olympia2.4–1.9
Krasnoyarsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Olympia to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)30%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)70%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Krasnoyarsk
  • Krasnoyarsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Krasnoyarsk

  • 03.10away · Kristall Saratov2:3
  • 01.10away · Dizel0:2
  • 29.09away · Tambov4:5
  • 27.09away · Buran Voronezh3:4
  • 23.09Omskie Krylia1:4

Olympia

  • 06.10away · HC Norilsk2:3
  • 01.10Kaluga2:3 OT
  • 29.09AKM4:3 OT
  • 27.09Ryazan4:1
  • 18.09away · Bars4:5

Head to head

  • 25.01.2026Olympia — Krasnoyarsk2:1
  • 26.10.2025Krasnoyarsk — Olympia2:1
  • 10.01.2025Olympia — Krasnoyarsk5:2
  • 12.11.2024Krasnoyarsk — Olympia5:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
23Dyn. Altay1252525–30-512
24Olympia1451837–42-511
25Zvezda Moscow1451833–45-1211
28Izhevsk1332829–40-118
29Krasnoyarsk14401023–36-138
30Chelmet Chelyabinsk1132620–44-248

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • KrasnoyarskIzhevsk11 October · VHL
    1The most likely outcome came true: 123%Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:1.4.5
  • Metallurg NovokuznetskOlympia11 October · VHL
    1The most likely outcome came true: 116%Final score 2:0. Model's score: 4:1.4.8

VHL on the same day

  • Omskie KryliaTambov
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 5:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.9
  • KurganBuran Voronezh
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%Final score 2:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 2:1.4.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →