VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Krasnoyarsk — Zvezda Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zvezda Moscow are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Krasnoyarsk — No. 29, 8 pts; Zvezda Moscow — No. 25, 11 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Krasnoyarsk 2 wins, Zvezda Moscow 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Krasnoyarsk — Zvezda Moscow | 2.2–2.4 | |
| Krasnoyarsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Zvezda Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 35% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 65% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Krasnoyarsk
- Krasnoyarsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 15.10Perm0:6
- 13.10Toros Neftekamsk2:0
- 11.10Izhevsk3:2
- 09.10Olympia3:4
- 03.10away · Kristall Saratov2:3
- 12.10away · Bars2:5
- 10.10away · Almetyevsk5:3
- 08.10away · CSK VVS3:2
- 02.10Dinamo St. Petersburg2:4
- 30.09SKA-VMF St. Petersburg1:3
Head to head
- 13.02.2026Zvezda Moscow — Krasnoyarsk4:2
- 05.10.2025Krasnoyarsk — Zvezda Moscow5:0
- 25.02.2025Zvezda Moscow — Krasnoyarsk4:2
- 26.09.2024Krasnoyarsk — Zvezda Moscow4:3 SO
- 25.01.2024Zvezda Moscow — Krasnoyarsk4:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Olympia | 14 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 25 | Zvezda Moscow | 14 | 5 | -12 | 11 |
| 26 | Izhevsk | 14 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 28 | CSK VVS | 16 | 4 | -25 | 9 |
| 29 | Krasnoyarsk | 15 | 4 | -19 | 8 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | -26 | 8 |
VHL on the same day
- Metallurg NovokuznetskKhimikpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- Omskie KryliaChelmet Chelyabinskpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- KurganMagnitka Magnitogorskpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
- Buran VoronezhToros Neftekamskpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- KalugaBarspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →