VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Kurgan — Magnitka Magnitogorsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Magnitka Magnitogorsk are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 27%.
Why
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.2 expected goals against 1.9.
Facts
- League table: Kurgan — No. 27, 10 pts; Magnitka Magnitogorsk — No. 20, 14 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 4 meetings: Kurgan 2 wins, Magnitka Magnitogorsk 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kurgan — Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 1.9–2.2 | |
| Kurgan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Magnitka Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 27% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 73% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kurgan
- Kurgan goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 15.10Kristall Saratov2:4
- 13.10Dizel4:3
- 11.10Tambov0:3
- 09.10Buran Voronezh2:3 SO
- 01.10Rubin Tyumen2:3 SO
- 14.10away · Kaluga1:3
- 12.10away · AKM3:2
- 10.10away · Ryazan3:4 SO
- 02.10Bars4:2
- 30.09Almetyevsk1:2 OT
Head to head
- 14.01.2026Kurgan — Magnitka Magnitogorsk1:0 SO
- 07.11.2025Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Kurgan3:2 SO
- 03.02.2025Kurgan — Magnitka Magnitogorsk1:2
- 17.10.2024Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Kurgan2:3
Table
VHL on the same day
- Metallurg NovokuznetskKhimikpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- Omskie KryliaChelmet Chelyabinskpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- KrasnoyarskZvezda Moscowpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- Buran VoronezhToros Neftekamskpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- KalugaBarspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →