Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 9 October, 20:45 MSK · Emmental Versicherung Arena

Langnau Tigers — Rapperswil-Jona

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Model prediction and result

3:0Came true

Langnau Tigers50%

Draw in regulation21%

Rapperswil-Jona29%

Model estimate at 18:16 MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Langnau Tigers to win (62% incl. overtime), came true.

Langnau Tigers are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

Langnau Tigers are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

Langnau Tigers: 3 wins in a row.
Last 5 meetings: Langnau Tigers 1 win, Rapperswil-Jona 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Langnau Tigers — Rapperswil-Jona		3.1–2.4
Langnau Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)		62%
Rapperswil-Jona to win (incl. OT and shootout)		38%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		48%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Langnau Tigers
Langnau Tigers goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Langnau Tigers

03.10EHC Kloten6:2
01.10away · Ambri-Piotta5:1
29.09Lugano4:3
26.09away · Fribourg3:4 OT
25.09Zug5:3

Rapperswil-Jona

03.10Bern4:3 OT
02.10away · Lugano2:5
29.09Zug2:5
26.09away · Ajoie5:4 OT
25.09Davos3:2

Head to head

28.02.2026Langnau Tigers — Rapperswil-Jona3:4
08.01.2026Rapperswil-Jona — Langnau Tigers2:1
11.10.2025Langnau Tigers — Rapperswil-Jona1:4
09.09.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Langnau Tigers5:1
19.01.2025Langnau Tigers — Rapperswil-Jona3:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Servette	11	5	2	2	2	33–29	+4	21
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Langnau Tigers	11	5	1	2	3	41–34	+7	19
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Fribourg	11	4	2	2	3	38–29	+9	18
11	Davos	11	4	0	1	6	27–31	-4	13
12	Rapperswil-Jona	11	2	2	1	6	28–42	-14	11
13, Relegation play-off	Biel	10	3	0	1	6	31–35	-4	10

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

20:45
AjoieLangnau Tigers10 October · National League
3862
2The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%Final score 5:4 in overtime. Model's score: 2:4.5.2
20:45
Rapperswil-JonaLausanne10 October · National League
5149
1The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%Final score 1:4. Model's score: 3:2.5.4

National League on the same day

20:45
BernBiel
6040
1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:2, exactly right.5.1
20:45
DavosEHC Kloten
7525
1The most likely outcome did not happen: 119%Final score 1:4. Model's score: 3:1.5.0
20:45
LuganoZurich
5050
2The most likely outcome came true: 223%Final score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.4.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →