AHL (American Hockey League) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Laval Rocket — Lehigh Valley Phantoms

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Model prediction for 5 November

Laval Rocket51%
Draw in regulation20%
Lehigh Valley Phantoms29%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Laval Rocket are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.

Why

  • Laval Rocket are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Laval Rocket — No. 5, 6 pts; Lehigh Valley Phantoms — No. 25, 3 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Laval Rocket: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Laval Rocket 3 wins, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Laval Rocket — Lehigh Valley Phantoms3.2–2.5
Laval Rocket to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Lehigh Valley Phantoms to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)54%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)46%

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Form

Laval Rocket

  • 11.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack5:2
  • 11.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds5:2
  • 03.10Syracuse Crunch6:1
  • 03.10Syracuse Crunch0:2
  • 09.05Toronto Marlies2:3

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

  • 15.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack4:1
  • 11.10Cleveland Monsters2:5
  • 11.10Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
  • 04.10Hartford Wolf Pack2:5
  • 19.04away · Charlotte Checkers1:4

Head to head

  • 30.11.2025Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Laval Rocket4:5 SO
  • 30.10.2025Laval Rocket — Lehigh Valley Phantoms3:0
  • 30.03.2025Laval Rocket — Lehigh Valley Phantoms1:3
  • 01.12.2024Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Laval Rocket4:3
  • 16.12.2023Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Laval Rocket3:4

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
4Manitoba Moose430118–6+126.750
5Laval Rocket430116–7+96.750
6Colorado Eagles430114–10+46.750
24Hamilton Hammers411214–17-33.375
25Lehigh Valley Phantoms411212–16-43.375
26Abbotsford Canucks411211–15-43.375

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →