AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Belleville Senators
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Lehigh Valley Phantoms 53%, Belleville Senators 47% including overtime.
6.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 61%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.1 and 2.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Belleville Senators | 3.1–2.9 | |
| Lehigh Valley Phantoms to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Belleville Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 61% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lehigh Valley Phantoms
- Lehigh Valley Phantoms goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Cleveland Monsters2:5
- 11.10Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
- 04.10Hartford Wolf Pack2:5
- 19.04away · Charlotte Checkers1:4
- 18.04away · Charlotte Checkers2:0
- 12.10Utica Comets2:4
- 11.10away · Syracuse Crunch3:2
- 04.10Rochester Americans3:2 SO
- 03.10Hamilton Hammers2:5
- 19.04away · Syracuse Crunch0:4
Head to head
- 04.01.2026Belleville Senators — Lehigh Valley Phantoms1:3
- 12.10.2025Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Belleville Senators5:2
- 29.03.2025Belleville Senators — Lehigh Valley Phantoms3:2
- 16.01.2025Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Belleville Senators3:2
- 19.11.2023Belleville Senators — Lehigh Valley Phantoms1:8
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Charlotte Checkers | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 | .500 |
| 22 | Belleville Senators | 4 | 2 | -3 | 4 | .500 |
| 23 | Hamilton Hammers | 4 | 1 | -3 | 3 | .375 |
| 30 | Providence Bruins | 5 | 1 | -5 | 2 | .200 |
| 31 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 3 | 0 | -7 | 1 | .167 |
| 32 | Chicago Wolves | 4 | 0 | -17 | 0 | .000 |
AHL on the same day
- Charlotte CheckersSpringfield Thunderbirdspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonHartford Wolf Packpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Grand Rapids GriffinsCleveland Monsterspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Hershey BearsBelleville Senatorspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Iowa WildManitoba Moosepreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsSyracuse Crunchpreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.4
- Providence BruinsUtica Cometspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- Abbotsford CanucksCalgary Wranglerspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →