Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Litvinov — Plzen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Plzen are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 31%.
Why
- Plzen are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Litvinov — Plzen | 1.9–2.4 | |
| Litvinov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Plzen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 31% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 69% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Litvinov
- Litvinov goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Mlada Boleslav1:2
- 09.10Olomouc3:1
- 04.10Kladno2:3 OT
- 02.10away · Trinec2:3
- 29.09Liberec5:4 SO
- 11.10away · Kometa Brno2:1 OT
- 08.10Ceske Budejovice4:1
- 04.10away · Karlovy Vary1:4
- 02.10away · Pardubice2:4
- 29.09away · Mlada Boleslav4:1
Head to head
- 01.03.2026Plzen — Litvinov3:2
- 02.01.2026Litvinov — Plzen1:8
- 20.11.2025Plzen — Litvinov7:2
- 03.10.2025Litvinov — Plzen1:2
- 28.01.2025Litvinov — Plzen2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karlovy Vary | 9 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Plzen | 10 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mountfield HK | 10 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Liberec | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Litvinov | 10 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kometa Brno | 9 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- TrinecCeske Budejovicepreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2
- VitkoviceKometa Brnopreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- KladnoPardubicepreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- LiberecSparta Praguepreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:24.9
- Mountfield HKKarlovy Varypreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →