KHL · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Shanghai
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.8.
Facts
- League table: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — No. 3, 30 pts; Shanghai — No. 4, 30 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 3 wins, Shanghai 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Shanghai | 2.6–1.8 | |
| Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.11Lada0:1
- 29.10Sochi6:2
- 25.10Cherepovets1:0
- 23.10Dynamo Moscow2:1 OT
- 20.10Niznekamsk0:1
- 03.11Cherepovets3:1
- 01.11Salavat Ufa3:2
- 30.10Barys Astana2:4
- 25.10away · Spartak Moscow4:3 SO
- 23.10away · Lada2:0
Head to head
- 08.09.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Shanghai3:1
- 10.02.2026Shanghai — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:2
- 17.01.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Shanghai2:0
- 19.11.2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Shanghai3:4 OT
- 12.09.2025Shanghai — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 17 | +31 | 34 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 21 | 15 | +19 | 30 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 21 | 14 | +13 | 30 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 13 | +15 | 29 |
KHL on the same day
- NiznekamskAvangard Omskpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:44.9
- YekaterinburgBars Kazanpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
- Spartak MoscowVladivostokpreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
- SochiKhabarovskpreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →