KHL · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Spartak Moscow — Vladivostok
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Spartak Moscow are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.
Why
- Spartak Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 1.9.
Facts
- League table: Spartak Moscow — No. 7, 28 pts; Vladivostok — No. 12, 23 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Spartak Moscow 4 wins, Vladivostok 1.
- Days of rest before the match: Spartak Moscow 13, Vladivostok 10.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Spartak Moscow — Vladivostok | 2.9–1.9 | |
| Spartak Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 69% | |
| Vladivostok to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 31% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 39% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Nizhny Novgorod1:3
- 30.10away · Cherepovets5:1
- 29.10away · Cherepovets2:3 SO
- 25.10Shanghai3:4 SO
- 23.10Cherepovets3:1
- 04.11SKA St. Petersburg4:0
- 01.11Khabarovsk2:5
- 29.10away · Niznekamsk4:3
- 27.10away · Lada3:1
- 25.10away · Khabarovsk0:3
Head to head
- 16.10.2026Vladivostok — Spartak Moscow1:5
- 26.02.2026Spartak Moscow — Vladivostok6:3
- 17.10.2025Vladivostok — Spartak Moscow3:4 SO
- 18.11.2024Spartak Moscow — Vladivostok6:1
- 21.10.2024Vladivostok — Spartak Moscow4:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 23 | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 23 | 12 | -2 | 26 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 21 | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 22 | 10 | -4 | 23 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | -12 | 23 |
KHL on the same day
- NiznekamskAvangard Omskpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:44.9
- YekaterinburgBars Kazanpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlShanghaipreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.5
- SochiKhabarovskpreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →