KHL · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Yekaterinburg — Bars Kazan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Yekaterinburg are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Yekaterinburg — No. 14, 22 pts; Bars Kazan — No. 10, 24 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Yekaterinburg 3 wins, Bars Kazan 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Yekaterinburg 14, Bars Kazan 10.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Yekaterinburg — Bars Kazan | 2.3–2.1 | |
| Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 33% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 67% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Yekaterinburg
- Yekaterinburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 31.10Magnitogorsk3:4
- 29.10Nizhny Novgorod3:2 SO
- 26.10Barys Astana4:1
- 23.10CSKA Moscow5:1
- 20.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:1
- 04.11away · Novosibirsk1:3
- 02.11SKA St. Petersburg3:4
- 30.10Khabarovsk3:1
- 28.10Avangard Omsk0:4
- 25.10away · Salavat Ufa2:1
Head to head
- 27.02.2026Yekaterinburg — Bars Kazan3:2 SO
- 04.01.2026Bars Kazan — Yekaterinburg5:0
- 29.09.2025Yekaterinburg — Bars Kazan4:1
- 10.09.2025Bars Kazan — Yekaterinburg3:6
- 07.04.2025Yekaterinburg — Bars Kazan1:2 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 22 | 12 | +13 | 25 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 24 | 11 | -4 | 24 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 21 | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | -12 | 23 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 21 | 10 | +4 | 22 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Avangard Omsk | 20 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
KHL on the same day
- NiznekamskAvangard Omskpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:44.9
- Spartak MoscowVladivostokpreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlShanghaipreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.5
- SochiKhabarovskpreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →