KHL · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Niznekamsk — Avangard Omsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Avangard Omsk are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Niznekamsk — No. 6, 29 pts; Avangard Omsk — No. 15, 22 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Niznekamsk 1 win, Avangard Omsk 4.
- Days of rest before the match: Niznekamsk 11, Avangard Omsk 13.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Niznekamsk — Avangard Omsk | 2.4–2.6 | |
| Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Avangard Omsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 42% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Niznekamsk
- Niznekamsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11away · Sochi2:1
- 01.11away · Novosibirsk3:1
- 29.10Vladivostok3:4
- 27.10Magnitogorsk2:3 OT
- 22.10away · Avangard Omsk3:2
- 01.11away · Sochi1:2 OT
- 30.10away · Lada2:3 OT
- 28.10away · Bars Kazan4:0
- 26.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:2 OT
- 22.10Niznekamsk2:3
Head to head
- 22.10.2026Avangard Omsk — Niznekamsk2:3
- 08.10.2026Niznekamsk — Avangard Omsk0:1
- 01.04.2026Avangard Omsk — Niznekamsk4:3 OT
- 30.03.2026Niznekamsk — Avangard Omsk2:5
- 28.03.2026Niznekamsk — Avangard Omsk1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 13 | +15 | 29 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 23 | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 21 | 10 | +4 | 22 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Avangard Omsk | 20 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 8 | -15 | 22 |
KHL on the same day
- YekaterinburgBars Kazanpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
- Spartak MoscowVladivostokpreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlShanghaipreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.5
- SochiKhabarovskpreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →