KHL · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Sochi — Khabarovsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Khabarovsk are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.
Why
- Khabarovsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Sochi — No. 21, 14 pts; Khabarovsk — No. 11, 23 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Sochi 3 wins, Khabarovsk 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Sochi 11, Khabarovsk 13.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sochi — Khabarovsk | 2.0–2.4 | |
| Sochi to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 33% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 67% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Sochi
- Sochi goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 03.11Niznekamsk1:2
- 01.11Avangard Omsk2:1 OT
- 29.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2:6
- 27.10away · Salavat Ufa2:1
- 25.10away · Lada4:3
- 01.11away · Vladivostok5:2
- 30.10away · Bars Kazan1:3
- 28.10away · Dynamo Moscow1:2
- 25.10Vladivostok3:0
- 19.10Barys Astana5:2
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Sochi — Khabarovsk2:3
- 30.11.2025Khabarovsk — Sochi0:1
- 09.01.2025Sochi — Khabarovsk5:2
- 02.12.2024Khabarovsk — Sochi2:1
- 26.11.2023Khabarovsk — Sochi2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 24 | 11 | -4 | 24 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 21 | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 22 | 10 | -4 | 23 |
| 20 | Novosibirsk | 24 | 9 | -15 | 21 |
| 21 | Sochi | 22 | 7 | -37 | 14 |
| 22 | Lada | 22 | 4 | -38 | 13 |
KHL on the same day
- NiznekamskAvangard Omskpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:44.9
- YekaterinburgBars Kazanpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
- Spartak MoscowVladivostokpreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlShanghaipreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →