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KHL · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

Magnitogorsk — CSKA Moscow

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Model prediction for 3 November

Magnitogorsk45%
Draw in regulation23%
CSKA Moscow32%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Magnitogorsk are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.

Why

  • Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Magnitogorsk — CSKA Moscow2.4–2.1
Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
CSKA Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)34%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)66%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Magnitogorsk
  • Magnitogorsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Magnitogorsk

  • 12.10away · Nizhny Novgorod3:2 OT
  • 09.10Salavat Ufa7:1
  • 07.10Vladivostok3:0
  • 05.10Vladivostok2:5
  • 02.10away · Spartak Moscow2:0

CSKA Moscow

  • 09.10away · Dynamo Moscow5:2
  • 05.10Salavat Ufa3:1
  • 03.10Dynamo Moscow4:3 SO
  • 01.10away · Dinamo Minsk4:1
  • 29.09SKA St. Petersburg6:5

Head to head

  • 03.10.2025CSKA Moscow — Magnitogorsk1:3
  • 21.09.2025Magnitogorsk — CSKA Moscow5:4
  • 12.03.2025Magnitogorsk — CSKA Moscow4:2
  • 03.10.2024CSKA Moscow — Magnitogorsk0:7
  • 05.12.2023Magnitogorsk — CSKA Moscow0:3

Full record: 42 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceMagnitogorsk16121351–30+2125
2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceCSKA Moscow14110349–27+2222
3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceLokomotiv Yaroslavl14110338–23+1522

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

  • ShanghaiCherepovetspreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • SochiNiznekamskpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →