KHL · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Magnitogorsk — Niznekamsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Magnitogorsk are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Magnitogorsk — No. 1, 27 pts; Niznekamsk — No. 7, 18 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Magnitogorsk: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Magnitogorsk 3 wins, Niznekamsk 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Magnitogorsk — Niznekamsk | 3.2–2.1 | |
| Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 71% | |
| Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 29% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Magnitogorsk
- Magnitogorsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Dinamo Minsk3:1
- 12.10away · Nizhny Novgorod3:2 OT
- 09.10Salavat Ufa7:1
- 07.10Vladivostok3:0
- 05.10Vladivostok2:5
- 12.10away · Salavat Ufa3:4
- 08.10Avangard Omsk0:1
- 04.10Novosibirsk3:2
- 02.10Barys Astana4:5 OT
- 29.09away · Khabarovsk0:1
Head to head
- 20.09.2026Magnitogorsk — Niznekamsk6:2
- 22.12.2025Magnitogorsk — Niznekamsk4:3 SO
- 05.12.2025Niznekamsk — Magnitogorsk2:1 OT
- 23.10.2025Niznekamsk — Magnitogorsk5:3
- 19.10.2025Magnitogorsk — Niznekamsk9:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 17 | 13 | +23 | 27 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 15 | 12 | +23 | 24 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 15 | 9 | +17 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
KHL on the same day
- Avangard OmskCSKA Moscowpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.2
- ShanghaiDynamo Moscowpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- SochiCherepovetspreliminary29712The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:35.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →