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KHL · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Arena Metallurg

Magnitogorsk — Salavat Ufa

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Model prediction and result

7:1Came true
Magnitogorsk50%
Draw in regulation22%
Salavat Ufa29%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 7:1: the model's most likely outcome, Magnitogorsk to win (62% incl. overtime), came true.

Magnitogorsk are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Magnitogorsk 3 wins, Salavat Ufa 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Magnitogorsk — Salavat Ufa2.8–2.2
Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
Salavat Ufa to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Magnitogorsk
  • Magnitogorsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Magnitogorsk

  • 07.10Vladivostok3:0
  • 05.10Vladivostok2:5
  • 02.10away · Spartak Moscow2:0
  • 30.09away · Shanghai1:4
  • 28.09away · Avangard Omsk5:1

Salavat Ufa

  • 07.10away · Novosibirsk5:4 OT
  • 05.10away · CSKA Moscow1:3
  • 02.10Novosibirsk2:4
  • 30.09away · Sochi3:6
  • 28.09away · Nizhny Novgorod3:0

Head to head

  • 23.09.2026Salavat Ufa — Magnitogorsk3:4
  • 11.03.2026Salavat Ufa — Magnitogorsk1:2 OT
  • 13.02.2026Salavat Ufa — Magnitogorsk4:3 SO
  • 16.10.2025Magnitogorsk — Salavat Ufa6:4
  • 08.09.2025Magnitogorsk — Salavat Ufa2:3 OT

Full record: 73 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceMagnitogorsk17131354–31+2327
2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceCSKA Moscow15120350–27+2324
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk1581624–22+217
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSalavat Ufa1681748–51-317
13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDinamo Minsk1665543–51-817

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • Salavat UfaNiznekamsk12 October · KHL
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 4:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.0
  • Nizhny NovgorodMagnitogorsk12 October · KHL
    2The most likely outcome came true: 221%Final score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:4.5.3

KHL on the same day

  • Dynamo MoscowCSKA Moscow
    2The most likely outcome came true: 224%Final score 2:5. Model's score: 1:2.4.1
  • SochiSpartak Moscow
    2The most likely outcome came true: 219%Final score 0:2. Model's score: 1:4.5.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →