VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Khimik
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Metallurg Novokuznetsk are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.
Why
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Metallurg Novokuznetsk — No. 5, 21 pts; Khimik — No. 9, 18 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 2 wins, Khimik 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Khimik | 2.5–2.1 | |
| Metallurg Novokuznetsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Khimik to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 37% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 63% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Metallurg Novokuznetsk
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 15.10Toros Neftekamsk3:2 SO
- 13.10Izhevsk3:2 SO
- 11.10Olympia2:0
- 05.10away · Kristall Saratov2:0
- 03.10away · Dizel2:0
- 10.10away · Bars1:2
- 08.10away · Almetyevsk2:3
- 06.10away · CSK VVS8:2
- 02.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg1:0
- 30.09Dinamo St. Petersburg4:3 OT
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Khimik — Metallurg Novokuznetsk4:2
- 07.05.2026Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Khimik4:3
- 04.05.2026Khimik — Metallurg Novokuznetsk3:2
- 02.05.2026Khimik — Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
- 29.04.2026Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Khimik0:1 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs | Kaluga | 14 | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 5, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 15 | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 6, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 13 | 10 | +18 | 20 |
| 8, Playoffs | Orsk | 12 | 8 | +13 | 19 |
| 9, Playoffs | Khimik | 14 | 8 | +18 | 18 |
| 10, Playoffs | Perm | 13 | 9 | +13 | 18 |
VHL on the same day
- Omskie KryliaChelmet Chelyabinskpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- KrasnoyarskZvezda Moscowpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- KurganMagnitka Magnitogorskpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
- Buran VoronezhToros Neftekamskpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- KalugaBarspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →