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NHL · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Montreal Canadiens — Los Angeles Kings

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Model prediction for 24 November

Montreal Canadiens43%
Draw in regulation23%
Los Angeles Kings34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Montreal Canadiens are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • Montreal Canadiens are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Montreal Canadiens — No. 6, 21 pts; Los Angeles Kings — No. 30, 10 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Montreal Canadiens 1 win, Los Angeles Kings 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Montreal Canadiens — Los Angeles Kings2.8–2.6
Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Los Angeles Kings to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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Form

Montreal Canadiens

  • 04.11Winnipeg Jets4:5 OT
  • 01.11Pittsburgh Penguins5:4
  • 30.10away · Dallas Stars5:2
  • 28.10away · St. Louis Blues2:0
  • 26.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:1

Los Angeles Kings

  • 31.10Buffalo Sabres2:3
  • 30.10Ottawa Senators6:5 OT
  • 28.10away · Chicago Blackhawks1:2
  • 27.10away · New York Rangers6:3
  • 24.10away · New Jersey Devils1:3

Head to head

  • 08.03.2026Los Angeles Kings — Montreal Canadiens3:4
  • 12.11.2025Montreal Canadiens — Los Angeles Kings1:5
  • 06.02.2025Los Angeles Kings — Montreal Canadiens6:3
  • 18.10.2024Montreal Canadiens — Los Angeles Kings1:4
  • 08.12.2023Montreal Canadiens — Los Angeles Kings0:4

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights17102558–49+922
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMontreal Canadiens1593352–47+521
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew Jersey Devils15100552–43+920
29Philadelphia Flyers1744937–58-2112
30Los Angeles Kings1342736–45-910
31Chicago Blackhawks15411033–58-259

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →