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NHL · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Winnipeg Jets — Utah Mammoth

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Model prediction for 24 November

Winnipeg Jets33%
Draw in regulation23%
Utah Mammoth44%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Utah Mammoth are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • Utah Mammoth are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Winnipeg Jets — No. 26, 13 pts; Utah Mammoth — No. 9, 20 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Winnipeg Jets 1 win, Utah Mammoth 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Winnipeg Jets — Utah Mammoth2.7–3.0
Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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Form

Winnipeg Jets

  • 04.11away · Montreal Canadiens5:4 OT
  • 01.11away · Carolina Hurricanes0:7
  • 31.10away · Florida Panthers2:5
  • 30.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning4:6
  • 28.10Florida Panthers1:5

Utah Mammoth

  • 04.11away · Toronto Maple Leafs3:2
  • 02.11away · Philadelphia Flyers3:6
  • 30.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins4:3 OT
  • 28.10Minnesota Wild1:3
  • 25.10Tampa Bay Lightning5:4 OT

Head to head

  • 15.04.2026Utah Mammoth — Winnipeg Jets5:3
  • 22.12.2025Utah Mammoth — Winnipeg Jets4:3 OT
  • 27.10.2025Winnipeg Jets — Utah Mammoth2:3
  • 06.04.2025Utah Mammoth — Winnipeg Jets4:1
  • 25.01.2025Winnipeg Jets — Utah Mammoth5:2

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning1492352–45+720
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth16100657–54+320
10, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionColorado Avalanche1691666–53+1319
25Calgary Flames1570838–53-1514
26Winnipeg Jets1653839–58-1913
27Pittsburgh Penguins1552849–52-312

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →